GameshowOdds
A wooden desk with a small prize wheel, an open notebook of pie and bar charts, pencil, ruler, dice and a brass lamp

The maths behind every wheel.

Real probabilities for Crazy Time, Monopoly Live and Funky Time, counted from each show's published wheel, with the sums shown.

Open the odds tables

Updated:

Real probabilities for Crazy Time, Monopoly Live and Funky Time, counted from each show's published wheel, with the sums on the page. We earn a commission when readers sign up at partner casinos such as RooRoll, which currently offers 100% up to €500 plus 200 free spins; that never changes a number here.

What this site is, and what it is not

Every wheel-based live show is a probability table in a costume. A Crazy Time wheel has 54 segments; 21 of them say 1, so a bet on 1 wins on 21 of 54 spins, which is 38.89%. That is the kind of fact this site is built from: published layouts, counted segments, and arithmetic you can check with a calculator.

We do not run a live tracker, we do not sell a system, and we do not show screenshots of big wins. Past spins do not change the next spin, so a tracker can describe history but cannot predict anything. What we can do is show what the game is designed to return, how often each result appears, and how wide the swings are. Where a figure comes from the game developer, we link the page. Where it comes from a third-party chart, we say so.

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The five shows

The house edge in one table

GameshowOddsUpdated:
House edge = 100 minus RTP. Sources and caveats are on each show page and on the RTP table.
ShowSegmentsPublished RTPHouse edge per 100 staked
Crazy Time5494.41% to 96.08% depending on bet3.92 to 5.59
MONOPOLY Live5496.23% reported (third-party)about 3.77
Funky Time6495.38% to 95.99% by segment (third-party)4.01 to 4.62
Lightning Roulette37 pockets97.10% straight-up, 97.30% other bets (third-party)2.70 to 2.90
Dream Catcher54not stated on the developer pagesee show page

Why the numbers are worth knowing

A game show wheel feels random in a way that invites stories: a segment is "due", a streak is "hot". The counts say otherwise. On Crazy Time the Crazy Time segment lands on 1 spin in 54, about 1.85%, and the chance of seeing it at least once in 100 spins is 84.6%. Those two facts are consistent with going 60 spins without seeing it, which happens about 33% of the time. Knowing that makes a dry spell boring instead of alarming.

It also makes the price visible. A published RTP of 96% means the design keeps about 4 of every 100 staked over a long run. Over 200 spins of 1 unit that is around 8 units, and the actual result will be far above or below it. That is the honest deal: entertainment with a known cost and a large variance.

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Questions

Do you offer a Crazy Time tracker or live stats?

No. A tracker only records past spins, and every spin is independent, so it cannot improve a decision. We publish the wheel layout and the probabilities instead.

Where do the probabilities come from?

From each show's published segment layout. We count segments and divide by the total. Where the developer page gives a count we link it; where we rely on a third-party chart we say so.

Is there a strategy that beats the house edge?

No. Every bet on these shows has a house edge, and changing the bet size or the spread changes variance, not the edge. See the bet-spread maths for worked examples.

Which game has the best RTP of the five?

Lightning Roulette has the highest reported RTP at 97.10% to 97.30%, because it is built on single-zero roulette. The wheel shows sit between about 94% and 96.5%.

Who is behind the site?

A small independent editorial team. See About for how we are paid and how we check numbers.

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Good to know. GameshowOdds is an independent maths site that earns a commission when readers sign up at partner casinos. Our partner RooRoll is an offshore casino: we have not verified a licence from a Canadian provincial regulator or an Irish one, so assume none. Offshore casinos sit outside local consumer protection and dispute processes. Gambling is 18+ (19+ in most Canadian provinces). Help is on our responsible gambling page.